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Exxon’s $2 billion Canada move shows confidence when others flee

November 8, 2018 1:12 AM
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Almost two years after Exxon Mobil Corp. removed billions of barrels of oilsands crude from its reserves, its Imperial Oil Ltd. unit is investing again, saying low Canadian crude prices that scared off the other majors make it a perfect time to build.

Imperial chief executive officer Rich Kruger puts the rationale for the $2.6 billion Aspen project in northern Alberta down to building when others aren’t to save money.

The decision comes in stark contrast to moves by Royal Dutch Shell Plc. and ConocoPhillips to sell oilsands assets, and by locals like Cenovus Energy Inc. and Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. that are curtailing production to weather rock-bottom prices. Part of Imperial’s confidence comes from being able to work around the pipeline bottleneck that has sent prices so low.

Imperial is looking at ways to process more heavy crude at its refineries and could place some of the new production in Enbridge Inc.’s Line 3, the one export pipeline that’s under construction and scheduled to be completed late next year. Imperial also owns a crude loading terminal near Edmonton with the capacity to load 210,000 barrels a day that could be utilized to ship out crude oil.

The project is “definitely a few years out and the major issues around egress are focused on Q4 2018 and Q1 2019,” said Dennis Fong, an analyst with Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. in Calgary.

Plus, investing in down times is how Imperial rolls, Chris Cox, an analyst at Raymond James & Associates Inc., said by phone.

So far, investors seem wary, though. Shares of Imperial slipped 1.6 per cent to C$41.50 in Toronto on Wednesday, trimming gains this year to 5.8 per cent. Exxon holds about 69 per cent of Imperial.


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